Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.016661 12.330435 13.806612 15.602038 17.745727 20.247616 23.425081
2025-04-27 9.492227 11.205340 13.286585 16.049968 19.700189 24.475001 31.406191
2025-05-04 8.226213 10.021499 12.307771 15.515275 20.043081 26.452818 36.723451
2025-05-11 7.638422 9.564897 12.122787 15.896336 21.568098 30.247373 45.661700
2025-05-18 6.998546 8.943387 11.607450 15.691867 22.142440 32.663795 53.085324
2025-05-25 6.485674 8.431695 11.169387 15.509979 22.675350 35.071900 61.293718
2025-06-01 6.091135 8.042775 10.855913 15.457263 23.379073 37.898143 71.441858
2025-06-08 5.669899 7.576376 10.376530 15.070027 23.426990 39.488426 79.520176
2025-06-15 5.389712 7.292900 10.144401 15.051147 24.115389 42.490450 92.553162
2025-06-22 5.006147 6.826531 9.587852 14.418402 23.553839 42.729108 98.227756
2025-06-29 4.650353 6.380622 9.031313 13.730432 22.789180 42.360518 102.009329
2025-07-06 4.376822 6.045490 8.629346 13.277029 22.428089 42.849651 108.917811
2025-07-13 4.450677 6.263125 9.155540 14.578854 25.937255 53.889596 163.533326
2025-07-20 4.349198 6.195203 9.200245 14.993938 27.655749 61.090125 213.760615
2025-07-27 4.106016 5.882648 8.802281 14.507463 27.238846 62.072120 234.629884
2025-08-03 4.016811 5.816106 8.825074 14.853908 28.849710 69.879949 310.594216
2025-08-10 3.853578 5.616907 8.598348 14.668067 29.124072 73.502194 367.598092
2025-08-17 3.706002 5.435978 8.391887 14.502672 29.424140 77.387755 439.344170
2025-08-24 3.585762 5.294924 8.248103 14.454722 30.027605 82.724218 547.685660
2025-08-31 3.432808 5.090560 7.975301 14.102303 29.747858 84.519283 624.395566
2025-09-07 3.334015 4.974883 7.860241 14.085112 30.405204 90.594439 803.269257
2025-09-14 3.170194 4.739411 7.507609 13.508486 29.370503 88.840919 837.809516
2025-09-21 3.008678 4.502591 7.142543 12.880454 28.115498 85.756097 837.449705